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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+1.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14+0.41vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.52+2.33vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33+1.73vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.59+0.29vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06+0.50vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.15-0.03vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.410.00vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04-2.27vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.71+0.36vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21+0.05vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.46-4.09vs Predicted
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13College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55College of Charleston2.0730.1%1st Place
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2.41College of Charleston2.1434.2%1st Place
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5.33Clemson University0.526.7%1st Place
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5.73The Citadel0.336.2%1st Place
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5.29North Carolina State University0.596.4%1st Place
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6.5Duke University0.062.9%1st Place
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6.97Clemson University-0.153.2%1st Place
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8.0The Citadel-0.411.9%1st Place
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6.73Georgia Institute of Technology-0.044.3%1st Place
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10.36University of South Carolina-1.710.6%1st Place
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11.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.210.5%1st Place
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7.91University of North Carolina-0.462.5%1st Place
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12.16College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 30.1% | 27.4% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 34.2% | 27.3% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Adams | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Wheary | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Annika Kaelin | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 12.0% | 25.9% | 28.3% | 10.7% |
| Julia Morash | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 17.8% | 35.6% | 22.7% |
| May Proctor | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| James Nave | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 18.1% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.