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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.75+5.99vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.84+4.77vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+3.99vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+4.90vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.27+2.80vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+0.19vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.54-3.29vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.95+0.75vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.17-4.26vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.71vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.27-6.55vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University0.81-2.66vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina0.72-3.34vs Predicted
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16The Citadel1.11-6.77vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.79-6.46vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.51-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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6.77Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.9University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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5.18Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.8University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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7.19College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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4.71North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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9.75Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.74College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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11.71Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.34Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.66University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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9.23The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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10.54Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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14.05Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 15.4% | 52.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.