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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.46vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+3.01vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University0.81+7.18vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.40+4.34vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.84+1.77vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+5.58vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.75+0.13vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.17-2.49vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.24-0.32vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.95-0.20vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.72-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-7.71vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.75-5.87vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.79-3.72vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.07-2.54vs Predicted
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16The Citadel1.11-6.70vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.39-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.01Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.18Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.34College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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6.77Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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11.58Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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7.13Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.51College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.8Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.53University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.13Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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10.28Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.46Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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9.3The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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11.69University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.6% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 27.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Coby Flannery | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.