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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.40+7.07vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+2.98vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+4.00vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+7.66vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.17+0.67vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.54-1.33vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.750.00vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.84-1.26vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.24-0.40vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.95-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.72-0.38vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.79-1.71vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.66-8.72vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.07-1.47vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.39-3.45vs Predicted
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16The Citadel1.11-6.65vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University0.81-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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4.98Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.0Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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11.66Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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5.67College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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4.67North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.0Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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6.74Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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8.6University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.71Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.62University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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10.29Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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12.53Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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11.55University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
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9.35The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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10.29Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 13.2% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 18.1% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Coby Flannery | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.