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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.21vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.75+4.95vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+3.95vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+4.75vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.17+0.78vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.40+2.24vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.38-1.90vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.95+1.83vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.54-4.55vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.84-3.36vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.72-0.37vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.79-1.72vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.48vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.07-1.51vs Predicted
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15The Citadel1.11-5.93vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.81-5.68vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.39-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.95Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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6.95Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.75University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.78College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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5.1Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.83Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.45North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.64Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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10.63University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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10.28Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.52Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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12.49Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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9.07The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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10.32Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.73University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 17.6% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 8.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 17.1% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Coby Flannery | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.