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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.48vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.75+4.96vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.40+5.21vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.17+1.75vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.75+1.96vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.38-0.97vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79+3.37vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.11+1.29vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.72+1.41vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.84-3.37vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.24-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-7.75vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.95-3.31vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-2.48vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.07-2.52vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.81-5.63vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.39-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.96Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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5.75College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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6.96Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.03Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.37Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.29The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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10.41University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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6.63Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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8.84University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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4.25University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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9.69Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.52Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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12.48Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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10.37Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.72University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 15.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.1% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Coby Flannery | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.