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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+4.56vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.75+4.93vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.84+3.64vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.40+4.37vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.72+5.64vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.75+0.93vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.54-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66-3.64vs Predicted
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9The Citadel1.11+0.04vs Predicted
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10Florida State University2.38-4.95vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.61vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.07+0.47vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.79-2.70vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.24-5.30vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.95-5.33vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.39-4.30vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University0.81-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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6.93Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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6.64Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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8.37College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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10.64University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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6.93Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.64North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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9.04The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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5.05Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.61Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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12.47Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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10.3Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.7University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.67Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.7University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
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10.31Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 15.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.3% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Coby Flannery | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.