← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.94+5.91vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami0.99+4.83vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.86+1.36vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.94+2.91vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.70-0.22vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.37-0.26vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston0.84+0.49vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University-0.84+4.60vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University1.33-3.27vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-0.15vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-0.75+1.43vs Predicted
-
12Duke University0.15-2.42vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston1.16-6.63vs Predicted
-
14The Citadel-0.34-2.81vs Predicted
-
15University of South Carolina-0.88-2.42vs Predicted
-
16Rollins College-0.79-3.50vs Predicted
-
17Florida State University0.97-9.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.91Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
-
6.83University of Miami0.990.1%1st Place
-
4.36University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
-
6.91Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
-
4.78Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
-
5.74University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
7.49College of Charleston0.840.1%1st Place
-
12.6Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
5.73North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
-
9.85Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
-
12.43Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
9.58Duke University0.150.0%1st Place
-
6.37College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
-
11.19The Citadel-0.340.0%1st Place
-
12.58University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
-
12.5Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.06Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 17.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 13.4% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Beard | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turner | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.