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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.33+4.69vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.16+4.32vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+4.07vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.86+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37+0.76vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.75+6.36vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.99-0.08vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.70-3.39vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.97-2.11vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston0.84-2.54vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.94-3.93vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.88-0.37vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.15-4.36vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.79-2.63vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.34-4.72vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.84-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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7.07Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.4University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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12.36Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Miami0.990.1%1st Place
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4.61Eckerd College1.700.2%1st Place
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6.89Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston0.840.1%1st Place
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7.07Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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9.95Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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12.63University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
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9.64Duke University0.150.0%1st Place
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12.37Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
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11.28The Citadel-0.340.0%1st Place
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12.67Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 15.5% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 0.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 15.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Beard | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turner | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.