← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami0.50+4.87vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College0.50+4.00vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami0.02+4.83vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.68+1.66vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.32+1.69vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.45+0.42vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University-0.27+2.19vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-0.04+0.01vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University-0.33+0.03vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida0.77-4.89vs Predicted
-
11University of Florida-0.69-0.76vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University-0.67-1.69vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida-0.16-4.52vs Predicted
-
14Florida Institute of Technology-0.64-3.97vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-3.16+0.30vs Predicted
-
16Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.87University of Miami0.509.7%1st Place
-
6.0Rollins College0.5011.3%1st Place
-
7.83University of Miami0.025.9%1st Place
-
5.66Jacksonville University0.6810.5%1st Place
-
6.69Jacksonville University0.329.3%1st Place
-
6.42University of South Florida0.458.8%1st Place
-
9.19Embry-Riddle University-0.273.7%1st Place
-
8.01Rollins College-0.045.8%1st Place
-
9.03Jacksonville University-0.334.0%1st Place
-
5.11University of South Florida0.7713.7%1st Place
-
10.24University of Florida-0.692.7%1st Place
-
10.31Jacksonville University-0.673.5%1st Place
-
8.48University of South Florida-0.165.3%1st Place
-
10.03Florida Institute of Technology-0.643.9%1st Place
-
15.3University of Central Florida-3.160.1%1st Place
-
11.83Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brendan Jay | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Annie Samis | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Harrison Vanderground | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
Parker Thran | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Mason Mattice | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Sara Menesale | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Mason Howell | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
Milo Fleming | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
Cheyenne Dooley | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
Ghislaine van Empel | 13.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Justin Tribou | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 2.6% |
Conner Brandon | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 2.7% |
Beatriz Newland | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
Noah Scholtz | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
Ashley Flanagan | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 80.5% |
Nathan Hjort | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 25.9% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.