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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+1.63vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14+0.38vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+3.34vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.15+2.93vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.59+0.14vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04+0.78vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33-1.23vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.410.00vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.46-1.05vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.52-4.55vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.71-0.65vs Predicted
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12College of Coastal Georgia-3.12+0.21vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63College of Charleston2.0727.6%1st Place
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2.38College of Charleston2.1434.6%1st Place
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6.34Duke University0.064.7%1st Place
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6.93Clemson University-0.153.8%1st Place
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5.14North Carolina State University0.598.1%1st Place
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6.78Georgia Institute of Technology-0.043.2%1st Place
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5.77The Citadel0.335.7%1st Place
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8.0The Citadel-0.412.3%1st Place
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7.95University of North Carolina-0.461.9%1st Place
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5.45Clemson University0.527.2%1st Place
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10.35University of South Carolina-1.710.7%1st Place
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12.21College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.1%1st Place
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11.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.210.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 27.6% | 28.2% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 34.6% | 26.4% | 19.7% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| William Wheary | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Annika Kaelin | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| May Proctor | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Luke Adams | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 24.5% | 28.2% | 11.6% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 7.3% | 19.4% | 64.8% |
| Julia Morash | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 36.2% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.