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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+5.88vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.70+2.71vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.16+3.31vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+2.88vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.33+0.95vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.97+1.02vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.15+2.75vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.75+4.29vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.86-4.81vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.99-3.08vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston0.84-3.54vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.84+0.51vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.79-0.57vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.37-8.34vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.34-3.94vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-5.89vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-0.88-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.71Eckerd College1.700.2%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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6.88Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.95North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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7.02Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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9.75Duke University0.150.0%1st Place
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12.29Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.19University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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6.92University of Miami0.990.1%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston0.840.1%1st Place
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12.51Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.43Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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11.06The Citadel-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.11Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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12.75University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 18.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Beard | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turner | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.