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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.70+3.51vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+4.88vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+3.83vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33+1.82vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+4.94vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.24+0.08vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.84+5.51vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.94-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.37-3.51vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.16-3.79vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.17-4.74vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.34-0.95vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.88-0.40vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.75-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.77-7.61vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.15-6.34vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.79-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Eckerd College1.700.2%1st Place
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6.88Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.83Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.82North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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9.94Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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12.51Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.88Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.49University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.21College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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11.05The Citadel-0.340.0%1st Place
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12.6University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.28Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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9.66Duke University0.150.0%1st Place
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12.5Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Monts | 16.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turner | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.