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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+5.83vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.16+4.17vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+3.80vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+6.04vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.70-0.36vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.33-0.21vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.94-0.17vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.84+4.51vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.24-3.10vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.77-2.56vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.37-5.34vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.17-5.83vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.34-1.95vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.15-4.46vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.79-2.69vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.75-3.59vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-0.88-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.17College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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6.8Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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10.04Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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4.64Eckerd College1.700.2%1st Place
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5.79North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.83Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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12.51Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.9University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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7.44University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.17College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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11.05The Citadel-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.54Duke University0.150.0%1st Place
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12.31Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.41Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.71University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turner | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.