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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.70+3.58vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.24+2.98vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+2.92vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.17+1.43vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.16+0.35vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.33-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.88+4.65vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.37-3.46vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-0.12vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.34+0.30vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.97-5.09vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.84-0.44vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.77-6.54vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.43-6.40vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.75-3.55vs Predicted
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17Rollins College-0.79-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Eckerd College1.700.2%1st Place
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6.92Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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6.92Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.43College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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6.35College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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5.8North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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12.65University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.54University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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9.88Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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11.3The Citadel-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.91Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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12.56Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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7.46University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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8.6Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.45Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.57Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Monts | 15.9% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turner | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.