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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.16+5.17vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+4.98vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+1.65vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33+1.84vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.24+1.07vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.37-1.29vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.97-1.05vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.17-2.86vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.77-2.51vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.43-2.22vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-2.09vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.84-0.43vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.79-1.55vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.34-3.91vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.75-3.56vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-0.88-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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6.98Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.65Eckerd College1.700.2%1st Place
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5.84North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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6.98Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.71University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.95Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.14College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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7.49University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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8.78Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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9.91Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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12.57Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.45Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
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11.09The Citadel-0.340.0%1st Place
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12.44Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.76University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christofor Tella | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 16.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turner | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.