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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+4.53vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.97+4.85vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+1.60vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+3.15vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+2.15vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.43+2.76vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.33-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.24-1.85vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.16-2.88vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.77-2.55vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-0.97vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.75+0.32vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.17-6.74vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.79-1.56vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.34-3.90vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.84-3.34vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina-0.88-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.85Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.6Eckerd College1.700.2%1st Place
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7.15Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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7.15Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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8.76Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.82North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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6.12College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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10.03Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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12.32Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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12.44Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
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11.1The Citadel-0.340.0%1st Place
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12.66Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.76University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 16.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turner | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.