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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.70+3.90vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+5.26vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+1.55vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33+2.21vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+2.26vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.97+1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.24-0.53vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.43+1.12vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.17-2.55vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.88+2.81vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.16-4.32vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.37-6.06vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.11-2.99vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.75-1.46vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-4.84vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-0.79-3.24vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.84-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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7.26Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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6.21North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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7.26Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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7.27Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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9.12Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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12.81University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.68College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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5.94University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.01The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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12.54Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.16Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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12.76Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.87Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Monts | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 16.2% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.