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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.70+3.87vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.43+6.97vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+4.28vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.97+3.42vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+5.27vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94+1.28vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.86-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37-1.95vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.33-3.03vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.17-3.51vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.16-4.28vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.24-5.65vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.88-0.15vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-0.84-1.23vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.11-5.04vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-0.79-3.22vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.75-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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8.97Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.28Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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7.42Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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10.27Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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7.28Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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6.05University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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5.97North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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6.72College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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12.85University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.77Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.96The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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12.78Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.68Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Monts | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 15.7% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.