← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.94+6.25vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.94+5.25vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.33+3.04vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University0.97+3.23vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.17+1.73vs Predicted
-
6Duke University0.43+3.03vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.70-1.98vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.86-3.40vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.16-2.49vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University-0.84+2.73vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.37-4.96vs Predicted
-
12Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-1.81vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-0.75-0.43vs Predicted
-
14Rollins College-0.79-1.33vs Predicted
-
15The Citadel0.11-5.03vs Predicted
-
16University of South Carolina-0.88-3.02vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami1.24-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.25Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
-
7.25Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
-
6.04North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
-
7.23Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
-
6.73College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
-
9.03Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.02Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
-
4.6University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
-
6.51College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
-
12.73Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
6.04University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
10.19Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
-
12.57Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
12.67Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.97The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
-
12.98University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
-
6.45University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 17.1% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.