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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+1.65vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14+0.38vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.52+2.40vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.59+1.26vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06+1.37vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.33-0.20vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.15-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.46-0.19vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.71+0.29vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.41-2.88vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-0.96vs Predicted
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13College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65College of Charleston2.0727.9%1st Place
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2.38College of Charleston2.1435.0%1st Place
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5.4Clemson University0.527.1%1st Place
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5.26North Carolina State University0.596.6%1st Place
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6.37Duke University0.065.1%1st Place
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5.8The Citadel0.336.4%1st Place
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6.93Clemson University-0.153.5%1st Place
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7.81University of North Carolina-0.462.0%1st Place
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6.77Georgia Institute of Technology-0.043.5%1st Place
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10.29University of South Carolina-1.710.6%1st Place
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8.12The Citadel-0.411.6%1st Place
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11.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.210.4%1st Place
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12.19College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 27.9% | 26.6% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 35.0% | 26.1% | 19.1% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Adams | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Wheary | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Annika Kaelin | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 24.8% | 27.8% | 10.5% |
| Henry Parker | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Julia Morash | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 17.8% | 36.8% | 21.9% |
| James Nave | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 18.2% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.