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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+3.43vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.70+2.96vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.16+3.60vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.97+3.37vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+2.37vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94+1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.24-0.58vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.17-1.30vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.33-3.05vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.37-4.08vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.75+1.61vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.43-3.00vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.84-0.23vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-3.80vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.79-2.41vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-0.88-3.02vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.11-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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4.96Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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7.37Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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7.37Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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7.37Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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6.7College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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5.95North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.92University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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12.61Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.0Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.77Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.2Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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12.59Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.98University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.12The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 16.8% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 14.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.