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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+6.20vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+2.53vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+4.21vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.24+1.38vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94+1.20vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.43+2.11vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37-1.91vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.70-4.22vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.17-3.41vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-0.70vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.75+0.50vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.88-0.13vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.11-3.96vs Predicted
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15Clemson University-0.84-2.26vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.16-9.31vs Predicted
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17Rollins College-0.79-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.53University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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7.21Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.19North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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7.2Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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9.11Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.09University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.78Eckerd College1.700.2%1st Place
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6.59College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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10.3Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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12.5Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.87University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.04The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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12.74Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.69College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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12.76Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 7.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 16.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.