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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.17+5.47vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.70+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+1.53vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+3.48vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+2.48vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.33+0.14vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.16-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.24-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.37-3.17vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.97-2.84vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-0.64vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.43-3.05vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.75-0.46vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.79-1.35vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.11-5.07vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.84-3.10vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-0.88-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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4.95Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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4.53University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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7.48Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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7.48Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.14North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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5.83University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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7.16Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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10.36Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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8.95Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.54Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.65Rollins College-0.790.0%1st Place
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9.93The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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12.9Clemson University-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.97University of South Carolina-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 16.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| William Ciniski | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Bosse | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 22.0% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Daniels | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.