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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.64+5.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+6.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+4.12vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+2.58vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.67+8.18vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.69+3.73vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.73+2.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.24vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+4.20vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.41-2.82vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.91-5.66vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.20-0.23vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.31-5.79vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.52-7.67vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.61-1.58vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-4.18vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.18-5.30vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32.640.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.58Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.18Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
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9.48Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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13.2Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.18Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.34Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.77Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.21Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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13.42Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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11.82Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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15.88Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% |
| Caroline James | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 9.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.1% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.5% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 12.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.