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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+6.19vs Predicted
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22.64+4.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.31+4.49vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+2.85vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.69+3.69vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.18+2.55vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.73-0.29vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.52-4.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.93vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.14-1.44vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.61-0.76vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-1.83vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.37+0.06vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.20-5.29vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.67-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.252.640.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.85Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.19Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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9.71Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.64Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.56Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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13.24Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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13.17Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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16.06Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.71Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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13.2Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline James | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 2.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 11.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 11.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 53.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.