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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+6.23vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.69+6.93vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+7.47vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.52+1.52vs Predicted
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62.64+0.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.41-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.18+3.51vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.67+4.34vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.73-0.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.20-0.23vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.31-5.80vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-6.45vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.61-1.52vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-2.81vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.47-10.11vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.35Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
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11.47Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.112.640.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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13.34Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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9.72Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.77Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.2Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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13.48Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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13.19Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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15.87Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline James | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 9.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 13.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 11.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.