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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.14+1.20vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.19+1.83vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+3.30vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.15+2.83vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04+1.62vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.52-0.76vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.59-1.95vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.33-2.39vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.41-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.46-2.19vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.71-0.77vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-0.92vs Predicted
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13College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2College of Charleston2.1441.2%1st Place
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3.83College of Charleston1.1914.1%1st Place
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6.3Duke University0.065.9%1st Place
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6.83Clemson University-0.153.5%1st Place
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6.62Georgia Institute of Technology-0.044.6%1st Place
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5.24Clemson University0.528.1%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University0.598.5%1st Place
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5.61The Citadel0.337.3%1st Place
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8.02The Citadel-0.412.4%1st Place
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7.81University of North Carolina-0.462.9%1st Place
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10.23University of South Carolina-1.710.9%1st Place
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11.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.210.4%1st Place
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12.16College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 41.2% | 26.1% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 14.1% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Annika Kaelin | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Adams | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Wheary | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| May Proctor | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Robert Gates | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 24.3% | 28.2% | 10.3% |
| Julia Morash | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 18.7% | 37.2% | 22.1% |
| James Nave | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 17.1% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.