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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.52+5.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+3.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+2.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+1.65vs Predicted
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62.64-0.03vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.45vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.20+3.06vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.31-2.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.20vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.61+2.19vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+2.93vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.73-3.92vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.14-2.97vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.25vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.18-4.67vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.67-3.96vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.972.640.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.06Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.98Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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13.19Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.08Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.03Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.75Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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13.04Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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15.55Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thompson | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.6% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 27.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 8.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 21.7% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.