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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+6.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+3.21vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.52+3.55vs Predicted
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42.64+1.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+1.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+0.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+0.57vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.14+3.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.73+0.14vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.08+4.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.18+0.28vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.61+1.34vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.47-6.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-7.59vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.20-3.95vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.67-2.99vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.72-4.14vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.912.640.1%1st Place
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6.71Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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11.19Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.14Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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14.8University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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13.34Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.05Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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13.01Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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12.86Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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15.54Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 9.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 6.9% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.