← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+6.82vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.40+4.95vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.77vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.41+2.62vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.96vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.73+3.32vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.31+0.09vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.52-1.74vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.18+2.40vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.69-0.28vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.14+0.65vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.20-0.36vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.04-5.01vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.61-0.90vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.47-8.52vs Predicted
-
16Boston University0.72-2.89vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University0.67-3.70vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-0.37-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
6.95Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.62Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.32Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.09Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.26Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
11.4University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
-
9.72University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.65Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
11.64Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
7.99Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
-
13.1Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.48Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
13.11Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
13.3Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
-
15.82Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Caroline James | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 12.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 10.6% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 11.9% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.