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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+6.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.31+5.26vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+5.33vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.20+7.22vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.52+1.28vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.41-0.29vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.14+3.49vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-2.58vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.18+1.66vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.73-1.51vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-5.50vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.72-1.28vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.37+0.94vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.61-2.44vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.67-3.68vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.69-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.26Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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11.22Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.71Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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9.49Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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12.72Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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15.94Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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13.56Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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13.32Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Payton Thompson | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 50.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 13.9% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 12.6% |
| Caroline James | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.