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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+8.50vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+4.46vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+5.81vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.69+4.55vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46+0.63vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.44+3.63vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.76vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+1.28vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-4.09vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.16+0.82vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-7.29vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.77-3.88vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.07-6.13vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.17-3.35vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-7.35vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-3.73vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.52-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.63Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.91Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.82Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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4.71Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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9.12Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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16.27Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 6.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.0% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| Annie Buelt | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 21.4% | 12.4% |
| Grace Augspurger | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 13.3% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.