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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+9.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.17+8.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.77+4.21vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28+1.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+2.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+2.55vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16+2.74vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-3.18vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-5.10vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-4.56vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.07-6.19vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-5.14vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-2.79vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.52-0.59vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.69-8.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.5Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.49Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.97University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.55Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.74Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.82Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.9Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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16.41Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.45Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.7% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 4.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Annie Buelt | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 21.1% | 11.3% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 11.7% | 64.8% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.