← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.19+2.80vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.14+0.16vs Predicted
-
3Duke University0.06+3.26vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04+2.58vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.59+0.07vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel0.33-0.34vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University0.52-1.67vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel-0.41-0.06vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina-0.46-1.24vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University-0.15-3.14vs Predicted
-
11University of South Carolina-1.71-0.68vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-0.97vs Predicted
-
13College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.8College of Charleston1.1916.0%1st Place
-
2.16College of Charleston2.1442.4%1st Place
-
6.26Duke University0.065.5%1st Place
-
6.58Georgia Institute of Technology-0.044.2%1st Place
-
5.07North Carolina State University0.597.5%1st Place
-
5.66The Citadel0.336.0%1st Place
-
5.33Clemson University0.527.8%1st Place
-
7.94The Citadel-0.412.3%1st Place
-
7.76University of North Carolina-0.463.2%1st Place
-
6.86Clemson University-0.153.8%1st Place
-
10.32University of South Carolina-1.710.5%1st Place
-
11.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.210.4%1st Place
-
12.21College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Beaulieu | 16.0% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 42.4% | 26.6% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Annika Kaelin | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| William Wheary | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Luke Adams | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| May Proctor | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 26.9% | 28.4% | 10.1% |
| Julia Morash | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 17.8% | 36.8% | 22.6% |
| James Nave | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 19.4% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.