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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.69+8.75vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.17+9.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+4.48vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.77+5.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+4.80vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.97vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95+1.56vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+2.53vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-3.30vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-3.15vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.07-2.77vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-1.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-3.89vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-9.69vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.16-3.33vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-6.05vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.52-0.59vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.76-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.48Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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10.53Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.7Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.85Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.31Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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16.41Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Annie Buelt | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.4% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 64.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.