← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.28+6.53vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.12+2.51vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.07+5.34vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.69+5.53vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+4.83vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.44+4.64vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.70-1.25vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.46-1.44vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.18vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.76+3.32vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-2.19vs Predicted
-
12Boston College1.77-2.36vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-3.29vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.52-4.02vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.17-3.31vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.77-6.63vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-0.52-0.58vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.16-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.53Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
4.51Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
8.34Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
9.53Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
-
9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
-
10.64Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
5.75Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.56Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
13.32University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
-
9.64Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
-
9.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
9.98Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
11.69University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
9.37Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
16.42Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.55Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.7% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 12.1% |
| Annie Buelt | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 4.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 64.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.