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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.58vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.08vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+6.59vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+6.11vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+5.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95+2.65vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.17+3.59vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16+2.81vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.69-0.13vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-5.17vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.07-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-0.02vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-4.48vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-5.18vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.77-6.67vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.46-10.28vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.52-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.53Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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11.81Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.87Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.83Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.98University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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9.33Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.72Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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16.27Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Annie Buelt | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 5.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 4.5% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 11.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.