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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+5.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.54vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.70+2.85vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.69+5.52vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.76+7.97vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.90vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.17+4.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.20vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+1.37vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44+0.90vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.07-2.72vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-3.08vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.16-1.36vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-4.38vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-5.64vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.77-6.64vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.52-0.58vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.28-10.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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4.54Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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5.85Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.97University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.9Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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11.64Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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16.42Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.02Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.7% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 11.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Annie Buelt | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 4.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 11.0% | 65.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.