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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+6.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+7.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.78vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+0.74vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.83vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.69+2.58vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77+1.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+1.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76+2.27vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-1.12vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.17-1.52vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.46-7.58vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-5.72vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.07-7.88vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-5.17vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.52-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.48Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.74Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.88Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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11.83Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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16.27Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.1% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Annie Buelt | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 13.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 5.3% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.