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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+8.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95+6.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+1.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+3.15vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.07+3.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46+0.65vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70-1.27vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.69+1.49vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+1.25vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.77-0.44vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-0.95vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.30vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.17-2.62vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.16-3.32vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.44-5.32vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-3.75vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.52-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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4.55Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.15Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.73Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.49Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.25Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.56Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.68Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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16.26Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Annie Buelt | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 20.8% | 11.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 13.1% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.