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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.07+7.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+4.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.50+6.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95+3.47vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+5.65vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+1.31vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.17+1.86vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-5.23vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.46-5.11vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-2.90vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.69-4.79vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-5.81vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.52+0.32vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.44-6.36vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.45-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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4.46Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.17Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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5.77Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.89Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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16.32Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.64Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Vermont0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Annie Buelt | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 4.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 61.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Madeline Kerr | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 22.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.