← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.12+3.51vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95+6.71vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.50+7.55vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.28+3.08vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.46+1.46vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.07+2.04vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.78vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.77+1.11vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.17+2.60vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University1.69-0.26vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.52-0.70vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.87vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-3.81vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.16-2.70vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.45-0.96vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.44-5.47vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.70-11.25vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-0.52-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.51Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.0%1st Place
-
10.55Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.08Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
6.46Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
8.04Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
9.11Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.6University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
9.74Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
-
10.3Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.3Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
14.04University of Vermont0.450.0%1st Place
-
10.53Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
5.75Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
16.18Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.6% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Buelt | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Madeline Kerr | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 23.9% | 18.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 15.5% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.