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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.73vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.30+0.93vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+2.69vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19+0.94vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.37+1.03vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.81+1.06vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+1.24vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.63-1.31vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.17-4.20vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.80-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-2.92-0.14vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-2.28-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73College of Charleston2.3753.9%1st Place
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2.93College of Charleston1.3018.4%1st Place
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5.69Clemson University0.234.5%1st Place
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4.94The Citadel0.195.5%1st Place
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6.03Duke University-0.372.7%1st Place
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7.06North Carolina State University-0.812.1%1st Place
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8.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.4%1st Place
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6.69The Citadel-0.632.6%1st Place
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4.8Clemson University-0.177.4%1st Place
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9.2University of South Carolina-1.800.8%1st Place
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10.86University of North Carolina-2.920.2%1st Place
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9.83Georgia Institute of Technology-2.280.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 53.9% | 28.2% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 18.4% | 26.5% | 22.6% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zohar Almani | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Liam Holder | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 4.7% |
| Camden Hom | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Bialek | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 24.8% | 13.3% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 20.2% | 54.4% |
| John Kelly | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 27.3% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.