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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+2.15vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+5.39vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.57+2.01vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+0.67vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.55+0.19vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.62+1.43vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.34+1.36vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.79-3.55vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.13-2.66vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.50+0.40vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.25-5.08vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.31vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.37-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.2%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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8.43Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.92Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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12.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.0Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 27.8% | 21.4% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 17.5% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 4.5% |
| Everett Nash | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Julia Beck | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 28.1% | 19.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 57.8% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 25.3% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.