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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.57+2.95vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.25+2.95vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.55+1.17vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02+1.68vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75-3.93vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.79-2.63vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-0.28vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.37+1.14vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.34-1.59vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.50-0.65vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.13-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.2%1st Place
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5.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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6.95Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.17Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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3.07Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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5.37Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.72Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.14Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.41Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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12.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 18.2% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Palardy | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 28.0% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 26.2% | 16.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
| Julia Beck | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 25.7% | 19.6% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 56.2% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.