← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.55+4.97vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.44vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.25+3.91vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.02+3.62vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.75-1.76vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.83vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.79-1.80vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.57-2.03vs Predicted
-
9Olin College of Engineering-0.37+2.06vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.13-2.71vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.34-1.51vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University-0.50-0.64vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University0.62-4.42vs Predicted
-
14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.97Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
-
5.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
-
6.91Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
-
7.62Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
3.24Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
-
4.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.2%1st Place
-
5.2Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
-
5.97University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
-
11.06Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.29Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.49Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
-
11.36Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
-
8.58Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
12.72Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Chance | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 23.4% | 22.2% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 17.9% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Palardy | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 21.7% | 23.6% | 15.2% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 5.4% |
| Julia Beck | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 27.2% | 19.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 19.2% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.