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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.25+4.75vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.55+3.06vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.57+1.17vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79-0.48vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.13+0.01vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.34+1.28vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.50+2.37vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+2.78vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62-2.24vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.37-0.90vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-7.50vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.02-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.2%1st Place
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6.75Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.23Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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6.17University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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5.52Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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9.28Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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11.37Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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12.78Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.76Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.1Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 17.2% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Chance | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 25.1% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 3.4% |
| Julia Beck | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 29.4% | 17.8% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 58.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 23.7% | 16.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.