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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+6.47vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.55+3.93vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79+2.39vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.25+2.97vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75-1.80vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.57-1.25vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-2.42vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.34+0.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.13-2.65vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62-2.28vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.50-0.65vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.37-2.01vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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5.39Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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3.2Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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4.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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8.72Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.99Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Chance | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 24.5% | 21.5% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 16.9% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Julia Beck | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 19.3% | 24.9% | 19.9% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 24.2% | 15.7% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 18.4% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.