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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+6.51vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.55+3.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.07vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.79+0.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75-2.76vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.25-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.57-2.03vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.13-1.68vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.34-0.49vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62-2.30vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.37-0.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.50-1.73vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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5.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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4.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.2%1st Place
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5.54Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.24Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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6.68Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.7Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.08Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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12.7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 25.6% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Palardy | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 24.5% | 15.5% |
| Julia Beck | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 26.1% | 19.4% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.